Levee and Floodwall Project: Some Additional Information

Hi all,

I receive many questions regarding the need for flood insurance upon accreditation of the Indianapolis North Flood Damage Reduction Project.

So, after informal e-mails, a formal public records request, and a formal public records complaint (!!), I obtained information that may help address these questions. I’ve posted copies of the referenced documents under the “Resources” tab of this website.

From the “Positive Finding Letter”

The U. S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), Louisville District has given a positive Levee System Evaluation (LSE) to the Indianapolis North, Indiana Levee System located in Marion County. This positive LSE means that the Indianapolis North, Indiana Levee System has met all of the requirements for determining the levee system can be reasonably expected to reduce the risk of flooding with at least a 1-percent annual chance exceedance, also referred to as the FEMA base flood in accordance with EC 1110-2-6067 and 44 CFR 65.10. Enclosed with this letter, you will find a Levee System Evaluation Report documenting the criteria used, assumptions made, and analyses conducted to evaluate the Indianapolis North, Indiana Levee System.

Under the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), a positive LSE [Levee System Evaluation] is a prerequisite for receiving levee accreditation from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). When a levee is accredited, FEMA will remove the area located behind the levee from the Special Flood Hazard Area, which is an area subject to flooding by the FEMA base flood. The area will be designated as a shaded Zone X or moderate risk zone. The purchase of flood insurance and elevation of structures is not federally mandated in a moderate risk zone; however, it is encouraged.

From FEMA Website

Zone B and X (shaded). Area of moderate flood hazard, usually the area between the limits of the 100‐ year and 500‐year floods. B Zones are also used to designate base floodplains of lesser hazards, such as areas protected by levees from 100‐year flood, or shallow flooding areas with average depths of less than one foot or drainage areas less than 1 square mile.

(See https://www.fema.gov/glossary/zone-b-and-x-shaded ).

From the Levee System Evaluation Report

The HEC-FDA (Flood Damage Analysis) computer program …estimates the [levee and floodwall] project for non-exceedance by a flood event. … [This analysis] shows that if a 1% AEP flood event occurred [a 100-year flood], there is a 95.7% chance this top of levee system will not be overtopped. Similarly, if a 0.2% chance flood occurred [a 500-year flood], there is a 76% chance it will not be overtopped. These calculations are based on the FEMA accreditation assumption that the levee would be constructed to a 1% AEP water surface elevation plus an additional 2.1 feet to accommodate risk and uncertainty. [HOWEVER] it should be noted that the top of levee elevation, per request from the local sponsor, is above that of the 1% AEP event and equal to a 0.33% AEP (300-year) flood. The increased risk reduction offered by this additional levee height is not accounted for in the values [above] … and these numbers are considered slightly conservative. The 0.33% AEP frequency flood is 1.2 feet greater than the 1% AEP flood at the downstream end of the project and 2.0 feet greater at the upstream end of the project. To determine the levee crest elevation which provides 0.33% AEP risk reduction and also accommodates potential risk and uncertainty, 2.1 feet was added to the 0.33%AEP water surface elevation profile.

The HEC-FDA (Flood Damage Analysis) computer program [also] estimates project performance over the long-term periods. … [A]ssuming a levee crest elevation associated with the 1% AEP level of flood risk reduction, there is a 1.5% chance that the levee system will be overtopped in a given 10-year period and a 7% chance that the levee system will be overtopped in a 50-year period. Note that this long-term risk is assuming that the levee crest is equivalent to the 1% AEP water surface elevation profile. In actuality, the levee was constructed to provide flood risk reduction beyond the 1% AEP event at the request of the local sponsor.

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FEMA’s Twenty-Two Questions (Unedited)

Hi all,

I received a request to post an unedited version of the questions from FEMA to the USACE regarding accreditation of the Indianapolis North Flood Damage Reduction Project (see previous post).

Here you go!!

________________

This responds to your submittal dated November 7, 2022, that the Department of Homeland Security’s Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) issue a revision to the Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) for the City of Indianapolis, Marion County, IN.  We have reviewed your request and determined that the following data items are required to complete our review.

Duplicate Effective Model 

1. The duplicate effective hydraulic model is a copy of the hydraulic analysis used for the currently effective published FEMA flood hazard data, referred to as the current effective model. For situations where the effective hydraulic model is a HEC-2 model, as with the White River, the duplicate effective model is created by directly converting the HEC-2 model to HEC-RAS and making minor adjustments which are necessary to get the model to run on the new platform. Our review of the submitted models for the White River revealed discrepancies between the submitted duplicate effective HEC-RAS model layout and the effective study. Because of this, the submitted model cannot be considered a true duplicate effective model. To get an accurate estimate of the difference in base flood elevations (BFEs) that result from updating the modeling software, the layout of the duplicate effective model should match that of the HEC2 study as much as possible within the revision area. It is recommended that the duplicate effective model is truncated to the intended limits of revision to reduce the effort needed to create the duplicate effective model.

a. The submitted duplicate effective model does not include cross sections from previously approved LOMR Case No. 17-05-3161P, effective 10/26/2017. Review of the model from this case revealed only two additional cross sections would need to be added to the submitted models. These sections are incorporated in the NFHL database and are at reach stations 243.22 and 243.24 (between lettered sections BG and BH). Although the accreditation of the levee system will supersede LOMR 17-05-3161P, the duplicate effective model should be revised to incorporate these cross sections so that it accurately represents the effective hydraulic model.

b. There are numerous cross sections within the intended revision area where the incorporation of blocked obstructions is inconsistent between the effective analysis and the submitted duplicate effective model. For example, blocked obstructions are present within an overbank of a cross section in the effective model, but not in the duplicate effective model. Additionally, the stationing of the blocked obstructions for several cross-sections does not match between the models. Table 1 in the attachments shows the locations where discrepancies occur.

c. For cross sections not directly bounding structures, there are differences between the effective and duplicate effective models for the overbank and main channel lengths. Table 2 in the attachments shows the locations where this discrepancy occurs.

d. Cross section 244.75 in the submitted duplicate effective model appears to be a newly added cross section as it is not defined in the effective model and is not near a structure. This section appears to be upstream of the area intended for revision, however this will need to be addressed if the limit of revision is extended further upstream.

Corrected Effective Model

2. The corrected effective model is a model that corrects any modeling errors in the duplicate effective model, makes changes necessary to ensure the model meets current FEMA standards, and/or incorporates more detailed topographic information than that used in the effective model. A corrected effective model is required to ensure the final preproject and post-project models meet FEMA standards.

a. The channel distances between cross sections defined in the model used to make mapping revisions should match the channel distances shown on the topographic work map within 5-percent of the effective FIRM scale, or 5-percent of each other, whichever is larger. Based on the cross section alignment and river centerline defined in the submitted existing (post-project) conditions georeferenced model, most of the distances between cross sections in the revision area do not meet this requirement. Table 3 in the attachments provides the calculations for the existing (post-project) conditions model.

Pre-Project and Post-Project Models

3. FEMA Guidance Document 95 (Levees) specifies that both “with levee” and “natural valley” analyses should be performed for a hydraulic analysis in an area with a levee/floodwall. This is done to provide an estimate of the changes in water surface elevations that result from the construction of the levee in addition to help determine the area to be mapped as protected by the levee system. The submitted draft Levee System Evaluation Report (Section 8.2.2B) indicates that minor changes were made to the effective HEC-2 model to reflect present day conditions. Specifically, “effective flow areas were modified based upon existing bridges, buildings, flood depths, and most importantly, existing and proposed levees.” As there is a difference in the placement of effective flow areas due to the as-built levee project compared to the effective model, please provide a natural valley (without levee) analysis. 

4. Comparing the georeferenced existing (post-project) conditions model geometry to the provided terrain data, several cross sections do not appear to accurately reflect the existing topography and the channel bank stations do not align with the actual location of the main channel. For some cross sections, the placement of ineffective flow areas makes the difference between cross section geometry and existing topography unimportant with regards to overall conveyance calculations. However, there are some cross sections where the discrepancies may be important for estimating BFEs. For an example, see Figure 1 in the attachments. Typically, the most current topographic information is used to update cross section geometry in a model as it is considered the best data available for use in the analysis. It is recommended that this is done to ensure the model can provide the most realistic estimate of flooding based on current conditions.

5. The locations of the levee embankments and floodwalls are currently represented in the submitted existing (postproject) conditions HEC-RAS model in a variety of ways, as listed below. 

a. The levee/floodwall is represented as high ground with an ineffective flow area placed at the high point. Additional topography landward of the levee exists.

b. The cross section geometry is cut-off at high ground at what is assumed to be the location of the levee/floodwall. Additional topography landward of the levee does not exist.

c. An ineffective flow area is placed at the approximate location of the floodwall without the indication of high ground at the location. It appears this configuration is used only for cross sections where the floodwall exists.

To ensure the model clearly presents the location of the levee/floodwall at all locations, the levee/floodwall should be documented/modeled in the post-project conditions model in a consistent manner. As separate pre-project and postproject conditions models are necessary to estimate changes in flood levels resulting from the levee construction, option B is not recommended.

6. In the submitted existing (post-project) conditions model, the water surface elevations of the 500-year flood event are not contained by the ground geometry at cross sections 243.05, 237.07, 243.075, and 243.08. Based on FEMA Guidance Document 80 (Hydraulics: One-Dimensional Analysis) Section 2.2.2, cross sections in the model must “extend beyond the most extreme event modeled.” Please ensure that all cross sections in the pre-project and postproject conditions models contain the 500-year flood event. 

7. In determining the known water surface downstream boundary condition for the truncated version of the submitted existing (post-project) conditions model, water surface elevations for cross section 237.87 of the submitted corrected effective model, which incorporated updated discharge values, were employed. For LOMRs utilizing truncated models, known water surface boundary conditions are set to the values of the effective models. For all submitted models that are truncated from the effective HEC-2 analysis, please incorporate elevation values that correlate with the HEC-2 results in the known water surface downstream boundary condition option.

8. The submitted existing (post-project) conditions floodway analysis uses a combination of methods 1 and 4 to calculate the floodway encroachments. For FEMA floodway analyses, method 4 is used to determine the initial encroachment stations needed to meet surcharge requirements. The values of the encroachment stations are then defined in method 1 in the finalized model that will be used to map the floodway. Please ensure that the post-project floodway analysis incorporates method 1 to define the floodway encroachment stations at all cross sections.

9. The submitted existing (post-project) conditions floodway analysis shows a surcharge value of 0.15’ at cross section 241.9. Based on state requirements, surcharges must be below 0.15’. Please ensure all surcharges in the post-project floodway analysis are below 0.15’.

10. The top of road for the bridge at Reach Station 242.36 in the submitted duplicate effective, corrected effective, and existing (post-project) conditions hydraulic models indicates that the bridge deck is approximately 6 inches thick. Because the bridge has low flow during the base flood, the top of road does not affect the computed BFEs. However, the top of road is needed to show on the revised flood profile for the White River. Please confirm the top of road elevation information for this structure in all submitted hydraulic models.

Mapping Items

11. Please provide a topographic work map that shows all applicable items listed below. Please also provide digital CAD or GIS data for the topographic work map and ensure the digital data are spatially referenced so that the data may be used for accurate mapping.

a. The location and alignment of the levee/floodwall for the Indianapolis North Levee System.

b. Boundary delineations of the post-project conditions base floodplain, 0.2-percent-annual-chance floodplain, regulatory floodway, and area to be protected by the levee system.

c. Boundary delineations of the currently effective base floodplain, 0.2-percent-annual-chance floodplain, and regulatory floodway.

d. Logical tie-ins between the revised and effective flood hazard boundary delineations.

e. Topographic contour information used for the boundary delineations of the base floodplain and 0.2-percentannual-chance floodplain.

f. Locations and alignments of all cross-sections used in the hydraulic model. 

g. The flow line used in the hydraulic model.

h. Reference to a datum, such as North American Vertical Datum of 1988.

12. Please provide an annotated FIRM at the scale of the effective FIRM, that shows the revised boundary delineations of the base floodplain, 0.2-percent-annual-chance floodplain, regulatory floodway, and area protected by the levee system shown on the submitted work map and how they tie into the boundary delineations shown on the effective FIRM at the downstream and upstream ends of the revised reach.

Levee System Components

13. The submitted documentation includes survey points and notes compiled for use in the National Levee Database (NLD). The notes included with the survey indicate that the data associated with Phase 3B-2, was collected while the project was incomplete and thus will not represent as-built elevations. Additionally, the top-of-levee elevations were not provided on the submitted as-built documents. Please provide verification of the top-of-levee elevations in this area to confirm freeboard requirements are met.

14. Section 8.2.3 (Risk & Uncertainty Analysis) of the Levee System Evaluation Report (LSER) submitted November 7, 2022, references Section III “Stage-Discharge Uncertainty” of EC 1105-2-205. We have been unable to locate this document on the USACE website. Please clarify if this engineering circular methodology was incorporated into another document or that the methodology still represents current practices and conditions for this project.

15. The LSER submitted November 7, 2022, specifies that the I-Wall completed in 2019 as part of Phase 3B may currently have settlement that is still occurring. However, it was specified that this project has relatively little fill and was constructed in in-situ soils, so settlement is expected to be minimal. As a settlement analysis was not conducted for this project area, please confirm USACE still recommends a positive evaluation for accreditation without this analysis.  

16. The LSER submitted November 7, 2022, specifies that there is an automatic floodwall closure structure along Westfield Boulevard that was installed in 2019. The provided as-builts and other documentation indicate that ground elevation along this section is below the proposed Base Flood Elevation (BFE), however it is unclear if this data represents the elevations after completion of the project for the invert of the structure. Please provide verification of the invert elevations of this automatic closure structure. In addition, FEMA Levee Guidance requires all automatic closures to be documented in the Operation Plan and must include traffic control to prevent damage to the closure and also include provisions for monitoring and manual backup for the activation of the automatic closure. 

 

Regulatory Items (Responsibility of Community)

17. The submitted application included an Operations, Maintenance, Repair, Replacement and Rehabilitation Manual (O&M) dated September 2020 and a May 2019 Flood Response Plan (FRP). To meet the requirements specified in 44 CFR 65.10(c) and (d), please provide evidence that the most recent operation and maintenance plans have been formally adopted by a Federal or State agency, an agency created by Federal or State law, or an agency of a community participating in the NFIP.

18. Section 3-8 of the submitted O&M (Duties of the Superintendent) specifies that the Superintendent shall oversee all operations and maintenance of the levee system and ensure that key workers have read those portions of the manual that pertain to their duties. Please provide an addendum or appendix to the O&M to identify the City of Indianapolis personnel (name or title) who will be responsible for the actions and assignments of operations and maintenance of the levee system.

19. Before this LOMR can be processed, please provide community acknowledgment in the form of a letter stating that the community has reviewed the revision request and understands the effects of the revision on flooding conditions in the community, and that any existing or proposed structures to be removed from the Special Flood Hazard Area

(SFHA), the area that would be inundated by the base flood, are or will be reasonably safe from flooding.  Alternatively, please submit Application/Certification Form 1, entitled “Overview & Concurrence Form,” signed by a community official.

20. The State of Indiana requires approval before FEMA issues a LOMR affecting the Base Flood Elevations and/or the regulatory floodway. Before this LOMR can be processed, please submit documentation of Indiana Department of Natural Resources approval.

21. Before this LOMR can be processed, please submit a finalized copy of the public notice distributed by City of Indianapolis officials stating their intent to revise the regulatory floodway or provide a statement that city officials have notified all affected property owners, in compliance with Paragraph 65.7 (b)(1) of the National Flood Insurance Program regulations. These notices must include the extent of revision, the changes to the regulatory floodway, and contact information for any interested parties. An example of public notice can be found in Figure 3 of the MT-2 instructions, which may be accessed at https://www.fema.gov/flood-maps/change-your-flood-zone/paper-applicationforms/mt-2.

22. Before this LOMR can be processed, please submit documentation of the individual legal notices that were sent to property owners who are affected by any increases in width and/or shifting of the base floodplain and/or increase in Base Flood Elevations. Legal notice may take the form of certified mailing receipts or certification that all property owners have been notified, with an accompanying mailing list and a copy of letter sent. Examples of individual notices can be found on pages 12 through 17 of the instructions for the MT-2 application/certification forms, which may be accessed at https://www.fema.gov/flood-maps/change-your-flood-zone/paper-application-forms/mt-2.

Spring 2023 Levee and Floodwall Update

Hi all!

It appears Indianapolis North Flood Damage Reduction Project progress continues!

The Federal Emergency Management Agency (“FEMA”) recently (January 20, 2023) responded to the United States Army Corps of Engineers (“USACE”) Levee System Evaluation Report (“LSER”) for the Indianapolis North Flood Damage Reduction Project.

As you may recall from the last update, when FEMA provides review comments, the applicant must adequately address all of the comments within 90 days.

I’ve pasted a version of the comments below (edited for brevity).

Some seem to require rather complicated technical analysis which I expect may take some time to address (hydraulic modelling).

Additionally, the Indianapolis Department of Public Works (“DPW”) indicates some comments may require clarification.

Once all review comments have been adequately addressed, FEMA will issue a Letter of Map Revision (“LOMR”) to the affected communities and provide copies to the requester.

Again, LOMRs which result in changes to regulatory flood hazard information then are subject to a statutory 90-day appeal period. FEMA publishes a notice of the appeal period in the local newspaper. This notice is published twice, shortly after the LOMR is issued. The 90-appeal period commences on the date of the second newspaper publication. LOMRs receiving no valid appeals will typically become effective approximately 4.5 months after issuance (120 days after the second newspaper publication).

Thanks, and, as always, please reach out with any questions, though I don’t expect I will be able to answer any technical questions that relate to hydraulic modelling (!!).

Jim Polito

__________________________

FEMA’s Twenty-Two Comments

Duplicate Effective Model 

1. The duplicate effective hydraulic model is a copy of the hydraulic analysis used for the currently effective published FEMA flood hazard data, referred to as the current effective model. For situations where the effective hydraulic model is a model which runs on an older platform (HEC-2 vs. HEC-RAS), the duplicate effective model is created by directly converting the model and making minor adjustments which are necessary to get the model to run on the new platform. It is recommended that the duplicate effective model be truncated to the intended limits of the proposed revision to reduce the effort needed to create the duplicate effective model. Additionally,

a. Please revise the duplicate effective model to incorporate cross sections from the previously approved Letter of Map Revision (“LOMR”),  Case No. 17-05-3161P, so that it accurately represents the effective hydraulic model.

b. Please revise the duplicate effective model to ensure consistency between blocked obstructions in the effective model and the submitted duplicate effective model.

c. Please revise the duplicate effective model to ensure consistency between overbank and main channel lengths.

Corrected Effective Model

2. The corrected effective model is a model that corrects any modeling errors in the duplicate effective model, makes changes necessary to ensure the model meets current FEMA standards, and/or incorporates more detailed topographic information than that used in the effective model. A corrected effective model is required to ensure the final pre-project and post-project models meet FEMA standards. Please revise the submitted model to ensure channel distances between cross sections defined in the model used to make mapping revisions match the channel distances shown on the topographic work map.

Pre-Project and Post-Project Models

3. FEMA guidance specifies that both “with levee” and “natural valley” analyses should be performed for a hydraulic analysis in an area with a levee/floodwall. Please provide a natural valley (without levee) analysis as there is a difference in the placement of effective flow areas due to the as-built levee project compared to the effective model.

4. Comparing the georeferenced existing (post-project) conditions model geometry to the provided terrain data, several cross sections do not appear to accurately reflect the existing topography. Please ensure the model uses the most current topographic information so the model can provide the most realistic estimate of flooding based on current conditions.

5. The locations of the levee embankments and floodwalls are currently represented in the submitted existing (post project) conditions in a variety of ways. To ensure the model clearly presents the location of the levee/floodwall at all locations, the levee/floodwall should be documented/modeled in the post-project conditions model in a consistent manner.

6. Please ensure that all cross sections in the pre-project and post project conditions models contain the 500-year flood event. 

7. For LOMRs utilizing truncated models, known water surface boundary conditions are set to the values of the effective models (hydraulic analysis used for the currently effective published FEMA flood hazard data). For all submitted models that are truncated from the effective hydraulic model, please incorporate elevation values that correlate with the effective hydraulic model results in the known water surface downstream boundary condition option (huh??!!).

8. The submitted existing (post-project) conditions floodway analysis uses a combination of methods to calculate the floodway encroachments. Please ensure that the post-project floodway analysis relies upon the appropriate method to define the floodway encroachment stations at all cross sections.

9. The submitted existing (post-project) conditions floodway analysis shows a surcharge value of 0.15’ at cross section 241.9. Based on state requirements, surcharges must be below 0.15’. Please ensure all surcharges in the post-project floodway analysis are below 0.15’.

10. The top of road for the bridge at Reach Station 242.36 in the submitted duplicate effective, corrected effective, and existing (post-project) conditions hydraulic models indicates that the bridge deck is approximately 6 inches thick. Please confirm the top of road elevation information for this structure in all submitted hydraulic models.

Mapping Items

11. Please provide a topographic work map that shows all applicable locations and alignments, boundary delineations, logical tie-ins, topographic contours, and the flow line used in the hydraulic model.

12. Please provide an annotated Flood Insurance Rate Map (“FIRM”) that shows the revised boundary delineations of the base floodplain, 0.2-percent-annual-chance floodplain, regulatory floodway, and area protected by the levee system.

Levee System Components

13. The submitted documentation includes survey points that were collected while the project was incomplete. Please provide verification of the top-of-levee elevations in this area to confirm freeboard requirements are met.

14. The Levee System Evaluation Report (LSER) submitted references a document we have been unable to locate on the USACE website. Please clarify if this engineering circular methodology was incorporated into another document or if the methodology still represents current practices and conditions for this project.

15. The LSER specifies that the I-Wall completed in 2019 as part of Phase 3B may currently have settlement that is still occurring. Please confirm USACE still recommends a positive evaluation for accreditation without a settlement analysis.  

16. The LSER specifies that there is an automatic floodwall closure structure along Westfield Boulevard that was installed in 2019. Please provide verification of the invert elevations of this automatic closure structure. In addition, document traffic control to prevent damage to the closure and also include provisions for monitoring and manual backup for the activation of the automatic closure.  

Regulatory Items (Responsibility of Community)

17. The submitted application included an Operations, Maintenance, Repair, Replacement and Rehabilitation Manual (“O&M”).  Please provide evidence that the most recent operation and maintenance plans have been formally adopted by a Federal or State agency, an agency created by Federal or State law, or an agency of a community participating in the NFIP.

18. Please provide an addendum or appendix to the O&M to identify the City of Indianapolis personnel (name or title) who will be responsible for the actions and assignments of operations and maintenance of the levee system.

19. Before this Letter of Map Revision (“LOMR”) can be processed, please provide community acknowledgment in the form of a letter stating that the community has reviewed the revision request and understands the effects of the revision on flooding conditions in the community.

20. The State of Indiana requires approval before FEMA issues a LOMR affecting the Base Flood Elevations and/or the regulatory floodway. Before this LOMR can be processed, please submit documentation of Indiana Department of Natural Resources approval.

21. Before this LOMR can be processed, please submit a finalized copy of the public notice distributed by City of Indianapolis officials stating their intent to revise the regulatory floodway.

22. Before this LOMR can be processed, please submit documentation of the individual legal notices that were sent to property owners who are affected by any increases in width and/or shifting of the base floodplain and/or increase in Base Flood Elevations.

Warfleigh and Floodwall Winter 2023 Updates

Hi all. I hope everyone is well. Just some winter 2023 Warfleigh updates!

Levee and Floodwall Project

The United States Army Corp of Engineers responded to a neighborhood request for information:

We have completed the construction of the project and have since provided it over to the City of Indianapolis for operation and maintenance. The documentation has been provided to FEMA for their review and ultimately their approval. We are 58 days into their 90-day review. If you would like to speak with our project manager, I can provide that info, but at this time we have no further updates from FEMA. Please let me know if you need anything else. Thank you.

Please note, this does not mean we approximately are 32-days away from relief:

– Within 90 days of receiving a request (for map revision), FEMA will provide the requester and the community either a Letter of Map Revision (“LOMR”), Conditional Letter of Map Revision (“CLOMR”), comments based on their review, or notification additional time is needed for reviewing/processing the request. When FEMA provides review comments, the applicant must adequately address all of the comments within 90 days.

-Once FEMA’s review is complete and all review comments have been adequately addressed, FEMA will issue a LOMR to the affected communities and provide copies to the requester.

– LOMRs which result in changes to regulatory flood hazard information are then subject to a statutory 90-day appeal period. FEMA publishes a notice of the appeal period in the local newspaper. This notice is published twice, shortly after the LOMR is issued. The 90-appeal period commences on the date of the second newspaper publication. LOMRs receiving no valid appeals will typically become effective approximately 4.5 months after issuance (120 days after the second newspaper publication).

See for more information: https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/mt-2_requests_guidance_dec_2020.pdf

Warfleigh Traffic Study

I often hear Warfleigh traffic flow concerns. A few years ago, I reached out to the City (Jeff Bennett, Deputy Mayor) requesting Warfleigh be included in area traffic flow studies. The City agreed, but the studies seemingly have been delayed. Accordingly, I reached out to the City again this week.  Here’s their response:

DPW elected not to conduct the study, at least on that original (2020) timeline. When the pandemic hit just a few months after the Red Line opened, car traffic was reduced, and the department didn’t believe the study’s findings would be valid.  Now that we’ve returned to what might be a new normal on College Ave., I think the department would consider conducting that analysis as originally planned. I’ve copied the brand-new DPW Director, Brandon Herget, and not-so-new DPW Counsel, Bob Frye, to put it back on their radar.

I think the DPW will pay attention to this note from the Deputy Mayor! This should be helpful. Please reach out to me with any questions or if you wish to help me monitor and encourage the progress of this study.

Random Rambling of an Economist – Bias in Neighborhood Surveys

!! You can ignore this one !!

I often see individuals, groups, and associations attempt to use neighborhood surveys, especially on “NextDoor,” to gain input which they sometimes use to support their public policy or advocacy positions. For example:

– Does Broad Ripple need another apartment building? Or development project X?

– To what purpose should we dedicate property Y (e.g., Guilford Avenue Kroger)?

– Does the neighborhood need additional traffic control measures? Speed bumps? Stop signs?

– Should we impose development or property right restrictions in the neighborhood?

– Do you support the new Family Center at Broad Ripple Park?

While such surveys may help neighbors share opinion, and often frustration, they, unfortunately, provide little meaningful, actionable information because they suffer from what statisticians and economists call “self-selection bias” or “volunteer bias.”

Self-selection bias refers to the bias that occurs when individuals choose to volunteer or “opt-in” to surveys.  The individuals who choose to volunteer or participate in the survey often, on average, differ qualitatively from those who choose not to participate in the survey. As a result, these polls tend to overrepresent individuals with one perspective, and, consequently, they are unlikely to accurately reflect public opinion at large. This self-selection leads to a biased sample that fundamentally affects the generalizability of results. It’s why some refer to such studies as “self-selected listener opinion polls” – or “SLOP” (!!!).

See for brief additional information:

https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/self-selection-bias/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-selection_bias

This may not be a problem depending on how survey results may be used. However, here’s how a problem could arise. Suppose some association that claims representativeness, such as a neighborhood association, releases an opinion poll and subsequently uses the results to justify their preferred public policy position. For example, a neighborhood association could release a survey seeking input on implementing development restrictions within the neighborhood (e.g., creating “conservation districts”) – or any other topic. Based on the results, the neighborhood association concludes, for example, the neighborhood supports restrictions on development and, subsequently, uses this to advocate for such before the City or others. However, as above, the results of such survey are biased and not generalizable. Think, for example, “We asked a number of people in the neighborhood who support development restrictions whether they support development restrictions and they said ‘yes.’ Therefore, the neighborhood overall supports development restrictions, and we will advocate for such.”

Just something to keep in mind as your respond to and interpret the results of neighborhood and NextDoor surveys.

Thanks all! Please reach out with any questions, comments, or concerns!

Jim Polito

Fall 2022 Levee and Floodwall Update: Good News!

Hi all!

The Department of Public Works reports the final document required for certification, the Levee Safety Evaluation report and package, has been transmitted from the United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). There was a United States Postal Service submittal as well as some electronic transmittal of certain documentation. FEMA has acknowledged USACE’s notification that the information was to be delivered. USACE believes the information will arrive in FEMA’s hands this week. Accordingly, at this point, it appears all required documents for accreditation now are either in FEMA’s hands or in the mail on the way.

Whew!!

Jim Polito

Summer 2022 Levee and Floodwall Update

Hi all,

I just received some clarifying information and updates from the Department of Public Works regarding the levee and floodwall project.

The Corps of Engineers (“USACE”) certifies the design and construction of the levee/floodwall assets to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (“FEMA”). USACE submittal to FEMA generally implies their certification.

FEMA accredits the flood works based on their review of compliance with federal regulations.

The Indianapolis Department of Natural Resources (“IDNR”) reviews the USACE documents to determine compliance with State requirements and informs FEMA of concurrence with the USACE documents.

In most cases the USACE completes a project whole not in pieces like with the Indy North project.

The USACE has submitted all documents for certification to FEMA except for the Levee Safety Evaluation (LSE) report. Those documents have been under review by FEMA since submittal in May.

The LSE is scheduled for an August 19 submittal to FEMA.

IDNR has sent a letter of concurrence FEMA in agreement with the USACE work.

With these documents in FEMA hands, they then can complete their review for accreditation and map revision which has been underway since at least May. This is a FEMA schedule driven by Federal Law and requirements.

There is some indication that FEMA is working to complete major efforts before the end of the year, however, it is unclear, today, how the distribution of effective (revised) maps will be effected. Accordingly, we likely may expect this to occur in the neighborhood of spring 2023.

Thanks, and please let me know if you have any questions.

Jim Polito

Brief Summer 2022 Levee and Floodwall Update

Hi all,

I sought an “out-of-cycle” update because the project should be moving towards certification, and because we all look forward to project accreditation (I usually seek an update every four months).

I didn’t ask for much detail, and didn’t follow-up with any questions, but there does appear to be good news to share:

(1) DPW indicates FEMA has issued a case number and acknowledged LOMR (“Letter of Map Revision”) review.  The 90-day FEMA review period has started and is underway.

You can find more about the FEMA LOMR process here:
https://emilms.fema.gov/IS1120/groups/140.html
 
(2) The utility issue at 67th and Ferguson has been resolved (repaired) with USACE approval.  This is a milestone for levee safety certification by the USACE.
 
(3) The pipe inspections are wrapping up as well.

DPW indicates “these items are all good.”

Hope this helps!

Jim Polito 

June 2022 WNA Updates and Activities

Hi all,

I received an update from the newly elected WNA President regarding some recent activities and initiatives.

Thanks, WNA, for sending this information along. I very much appreciate the new communication channel.

(1) Traffic control updates.

The DPW in a recent meeting (see previous post), advocates for a traffic control measure at the intersection of 64th Street/Arden Drive/Meridian Street.  The WNA supports this control measure and additionally expresses concerns about traffic control south of that intersection, namely the lack of left-turn lanes at 63rd Street and Meridian Street, 62nd Street and Meridian Street, and 61st Street/Laverock and Meridian Street.

(2) Grant proposal for Warfleigh neighborhood signs. The WNA recently submitted to the City a grant proposal seeking $9,375 in funds to place identifying signs throughout the Warfleigh neighborhood. You may see the proposal here, and the logic for such: https://warfleigh.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/neighborhood-grants-program-final-6-6-22.docx.pdf.

You may wish to give the proposal a look and share with the WNA your thoughts, ideas, and concerns (see https://warfleigh.com/ for contact information). Do you support this initiative?  Is this the best use of City/taxpayer funds? Will this help the neighborhood become stronger and united? The neighborhood likely does face future challenges.

Thanks, and, again, appreciate the opportunity to share this information.

Jim Polito

STAKEHOLDER MEETING: Meridian Street Drainage and Traffic Flow Improvements

Hi all, I received the following notice I thought I would share.

Stakeholder Meeting: Meridian Street Drainage Improvements

Tuesday, June 14, 2022

6-7:30 p.m.

Holliday Park Nature Center

6363 Spring Mill Road, Indianapolis, Indiana 46260

Greetings! Join staff from Indy DPW on Tuesday, June 14, from 6-7:30 p.m., to learn about drainage improvements and road rehabilitation planned for Meridian Street from White River to 96th Street in 2023. Indy DPW plans to invest approximately $6.7 million in drainage improvements and structural road rehabilitation on Meridian Street between 64th and 96th Streets. Drainage work will include cleaning culverts along with replacing vulnerable or failed culverts where needed. There will be a short presentation at 6 p.m. followed by an opportunity to ask questions with Indy DPW staff. Stakeholders will be able to share comments and provide written feedback on proposed plans following the presentation. Learn more at: https://www.indy.gov/activity/major-transportation-projects , Street Improvements, Future Projects.  Reach out to Lane.Wolf@indy.gov for a virtual meeting reminder. Additionally, contact Lane for  questions or special accommodations: Lane.Wolf@indy.gov or 317-954-3558.

I also understand  there’s likely there’s to be talk about the potential for a stoplight + infrastructure improvements at Meridian and 64th / Arden Drive at this meeting, too.

Thanks to the WNA for the head’s up!

Jim Polito

Spring 2022 Levee and Floodwall Update

Hi all,

Please find below the most recent levee and floodwall update I was able to obtain from DPW.  The update is a little bit confusing and raises certain questions (also see below).  I’ve reached out to the DPW for clarification, but that might take a little time due to conflicting schedules and events.  I’ll be sure to provide another update as soon as I hear anything else.

Thanks, and please feel free to reach out with any questions.

Jim

DPW Update:

As you are aware the Department has been working with the USACE to address utility inspection needs and associated work as well as an impact to the flood wall created by local utility work.  The utility inspection and follow-up repairs have been approved by the USACE and are moving forward per plan and USACE oversight.  The directed utility restoration effort is approved by the USACE and will be proceeding in the upcoming weeks.  These items are sufficiently addressed at this time.  Necessary work will continue to meet the USACE required outcomes.

The Department was also informed this week that the IDNR Division of Water noted concurrence with the USACE submitted River Hydraulic Model and proposed revisions to the floodplain.  This information in addition to other provided Department information will allow the USACE to make the necessary submittal for certification to the FEMA.  The Department is aware that the USACE project team is in communication with FEMA to make the submittal of the sizable packet of technical information.  I can send a follow-up notice when the documents are noted received by FEMA.

Also, the USACE and Department will be completing the annual inspection of the levee/floodwall system in June 2022.

Clarification Requested:

(1) Most significantly, what now is the estimated timeline for certification and accreditation?

(2) Please describe in more detail the nature of the work required to address utility inspection needs and the expected timeline for completion.

(3) Please describe in more detail the nature of the work required to address the impact of local utility work and the expected timeline for completion.

(4) What does it mean when the DPW says “these items (above) are sufficiently addressed at this time?”

(5) When will USACE submit to FEMA the “sizeable packet of technical information” required for certification?

(6) What major milestones/activities may we expect between certification and accreditation?